After some research I have found out a few things when the standings are at the 1/8 mark and quite surprisingly over half of the teams in a playoff spot at the 1/8 mark of the season wind up making the playoffs by the end of the year.
So with all the teams in the NHL having hit the 1/8 mark or 10 game mark this year I wanted to see exactly now much importance the first ten games would have on a season and I went back 5 years since the Golden Knights started playing to see what the standings looked like at the 1/8 mark each season and see how many teams in a playoff spot at the 10 game mark of each 82 game season (8 game mark of the 56 game season and the COVID stopped 2019-20 season I didn’t look at because the season was all wonky) wound up making it at the end of the year and I was surprised to find out that in the 4 years I checked that out of the 48 teams who wound up making the playoffs in those 4 seasons, 34 of them were in a playoff spot at the 10 (or 8) game mark and that was really surprising as it evened out to having 11 of the 16 teams in a playoff spot at the 1/8 mark winding up making the playoffs at the end of the year, now I know things can change and it could end up being completely differently but if we were to apply that number to this year then 11 of the 16 teams in the playoffs in the standings below could easily wind up making the playoffs by the end of the year.
And while I was looking at the previous 1/8 mark standings I also found something else and I know that some say that teams can overcome a slow start to the and I think that is definitely true but if a team has a really bad start in the first ten games they almost never come back as in the three 82 game seasons I checked no team who had 7 points or less at the 10 game mark wound up making the playoffs at the end of the season and only 1 team (Edmonton) was able to make the playoffs in the shortened 56 game season after starting with 6 points or less at the 8 game mark so for a team to make the playoffs after a slow ten game start is tricky and normally there isn’t too many teams who have a bad start as in those four seasons only about 5 teams had that bad of a start but while there is only one in the east who had 7 points or less to start the season (Columbus with 6) the West has a extraordinary 6 teams start the season with 7 points or less in the first ten games (Preds, Ducks and Yotes with 7, and Blues, Sharks and Canucks with 6) so with the vast amount of bad starts in the West I think there would definitely be a good chance that a team who had a bad start could get into a playoff spot by the end of the season and if I had to bet it would be the Blues or the Predators but it is extremely difficult to overcome a bad start in the first ten games and those 7 teams who had 7 points or less in the first ten games may have their playoff fates already sealed,
while back to my first point if I had to predict 11 teams who were in a playoff spot at the ten game mark this season who could remain in a playoff spot until the end of the year it would probably VGK, CAL, EDM, DAL, COL, MIN, CAR, NYR, TB for sure and if I had to go with two other teams who I could see holding onto a playoff spot it would probably be BOS and NJ as I think those two have played quite well to start the season and the five I would say fall out of the playoff race would probably the Jets, Kraken, Flyers, Sabres and Islanders as expect for maybe the Jets and Islanders those teams have no business being in the playoffs and I think the Islanders and Jets can’t keep up this pace and I think in the west the Kings and Blues would be able to get back in a playoff position while in the East I can see the Maple Leafs, Panthers and Penguins should be able to claw their way back into a playoff spot but that is just my opinion and I would love to here yours and who you think can remain in a playoff spot and who will either fall out or get back in and do you see any teams with 7 points or less being able to make the playoffs or are their fates sealed, I would definitely like to know what you think and let me know what changes you think would happen with the 1/8 mark standings.
Below is this years 10 game mark standings as well as the 4 other years 1/8 mark standings (excluding the 2019-20 COVID postponed season).
This year (2022-23) 1/8 or 10 game mark standings.
VGK 8-2-0, 16 PTS
EDM 7-3-0, 14 PTS
CAL 5-4-1, 11 PTS
DAL 6-3-1, 13 PTS
WIN 6-3-1, 13 PTS
COL 5-4-1, 11 PTS
MIN 5-4-1, 11 PTS
SEA 4-4-2, 10 PTS
LA 5-5-0, 10 PTS
CHI 4-4-2, 10 PTS
NAS 3-6-1, 7 PTS
ARI 3-6-1, 7PTS
ANA 3-6-1, 7 PTS
ST.L 3-7-0, 6 PTS
VAN 2-6-2, 6 PTS
SJ 3-7-0, 6 PTS
BOS 9-1-0, 18 PTS
BUF 7-3-0, 14 PTS
TB 6-4-0, 12 PTS
CAR 7-2-1, 15 PTS
NJ 7-3-0, 14 PTS
NYI 6-4-0, 12 PTS
NYR 5-3-2, 12 PTS
PHI 5-3-2, 12 PTS
DET 5-3-2, 12 PTS
WAS 5-4-1, 11 PTS
FLO 5-4-1, 11 PTS
MON 5-5-0, 10 PTS
PIT 4-4-2, 10 PTS
TOR 4-4-2, 10 PTS
OTT 4-6-0, 8 PTS
COLU 3-7-0, 6 PTS
2021-22 1/8 or 10 games mark standings.
11/16 teams who were in a playoff spot wound up making the playoffs.
ST.L* 7-2-1, 15 PTS
WIN 6-2-2, 14 PTS
MIN* 7-3-0, 14 PTS
EDM* 9-1-0, 18 PTS
CAL* 6-1-3, 15 PTS
SJ 6-4-0, 12 PTS
NAS* 5-5-0, 10 PTS
VGK 5-5-0, 10PTS
DAL* 4-4-2, 10 PTS
COL* 4-5-1, 9 PTS
LA* 4-5-1, 9 PTS
VAN 4-5-1, 9 PTS
ANA 3-4-3, 9 PTS
SEA 3-6-1, 7 PTS
CHI 1-7-2, 4 PTS
ARI 0-9-1, 1 PTS
FLO* 9-0-1, 19 PTS
BOS* 6-4-0, 12 PTS
TB* 5-3-2, 12 PTS
CAR* 9-1-0, 18 PTS
PHI 6-2-2, 14 PTS
NYR* 6-2-2, 14 PTS
WAS* 5-1-4, 14 PTS
COLU 7-3-0, 14 PTS
NYI 5-3-2, 12 PTS
NJ 5-3-2, 12 PTS
TOR* 5-4-1, 11 PTS
BUF 5-4-1, 11 PTS
PIT* 4-3-3, 11 PTS
DET 4-4-2, 10 PTS
OTT 3-6-1, 7 PTS
MON 2-8-0 4 PTS
2020-21 1/8 or 8 game mark standings.
13/16 teams who were in a playoff spot wound up making the playoffs.
VGK* 6-1-1, 13 PTS
ST.L* 5-2-1, 11 PTS
COL* 5-3-0, 10 PTS
MIN* 5-3-0, 10 PTS
ANA 3-3-2, 8 PTS
LA 3-3-2, 8 PTS
ARI 3-4-1, 7 PTS
SJ 3-5-0, 6 PTS
TOR* 6-2-0, 12 PTS
MON* 5-1-2, 12 PTS
WIN 5-3-0, 10 PTS
CAL* 4-3-1, 9 PTS
EDM* 3-5-0, 6 PTS
VAN 3-5-0, 6 PTS
OTT 1-6-1, 3 PTS
FLO* 6-0-2, 14 PTS
TB* 6-1-1, 13 PTS
CAR* 6-2-0, 12 PTS
DAL 5-2-1, 11 PTS
COLU 3-2-3, 9 PTS
NAS* 4-4-0, 8 PTS
CHI 2-3-3, 7 PTS
DET 2-5-1, 5 PTS
WAS* 5-0-3, 13 PTS
BOS* 5-1-2, 12 PTS
PHI 5-2-1, 11 PTS
PIT* 4-3-1, 9 PTS
NJ 3-3-2, 8 PTS
BUF 3-3-2, 8 PTS
NYI* 3-4-1, 7 PTS
NYR 2-4-2, 6 PTS
2018-19 1/8 or 10 game mark standings.
10/16 teams who were in a playoff spot wound up making the playoffs.
EDM 6-3-1, 13 PTS
VAN 6-4-0, 12 PTS
SJ* 5-3-2, 12 PTS
NAS* 8-2-0, 16 PTS
COL* 6-2-2, 14 PTS
MIN 6-2-2, 14 PTS
CHI 6-2-2, 14 PTS
WIN* 6-3-1, 13 PTS
ANA 5-4-1, 11 PTS
DAL* 5-5-0, 10 PTS
CAL* 5-5-0, 10 PTS
ARI 5-5-0, 10 PTS
VGK* 4-5-1, 9 PTS
ST.L* 3-4-3, 9 PTS
LA 2-7-1, 5 PTS
TB* 7-2-1, 15 PTS
BOS* 6-2-2, 14 PTS
TOR* 7-3-0, 14 PTS
PIT* 6-2-2, 14 PTS
CAR* 6-3-1, 13 PTS
COLU* 6-4-0, 12 PTS
MON 6-2-2, 14 PTS
BUF 6-4-0, 12 PTS
WAS* 5-3-2, 12 PTS
NJ 5-4-1, 11 PTS
NYI* 5-4-1 11 PTS
OTT 4-4-2, 10 PTS
PHI 4-6-0, 8 PTS
NYR 3-6-1, 7 PTS
FLO 2-5-3, 7 PTS
DET 1-7-2, 4 PTS
2017-18 1/8 or 10 game mark standings.
11/16 teams who were in a playoff spot wound up making the playoffs.
LA* 8-1-1, 17 PTS
VGK* 8-2-0, 16 PTS
VAN 6-3-1, 13 PTS
ST.L 7-2-1, 15 PTS
NAS* 5-3-2, 12 PTS
WIN* 5-3-2, 12 PTS
CHI 5-3-2, 12 PTS
ANA* 5-4-1, 11 PTS
DAL 5-5-0, 10 PTS
COL* 5-5-0, 10 PTS
SJ* 5-5-0, 10 PTS
MIN* 4-4-2, 10 PTS
CAL 5-5-0, 10 PTS
EDM 3-6-1, 7 PTS
ARI 0-9-1, 1 PTS
TB* 8-1-1, 17 PTS
TOR* 7-3-0, 14 PTS
OTT 5-1-4, 14 PTS
NJ* 8-2-0, 16 PTS
COLU* 7-3-0, 14 PTS
PIT* 6-3-1, 13 PTS
BOS* 4-3-3, 11 PTS
NYI 5-4-1, 11 PTS
PHI* 5-5-0, 10 PTS
CAR 4-4-2, 10 PTS
FLO 4-5-1, 9 PTS
DET 4-5-1, 9 PTS
WAS* 4-5-1, 9 PTS
BUF 3-5-2, 8 PTS
NYR 2-6-2, 6 PTS
MON 2-7-1, 5 PTS
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